Let’s just figure out, who is in a hurry to sign up for Obamacare? If you are at high risk from a previous or current health condition, chances are any insurance is unaffordable and this would supplement what health care you currently can afford. If you are currently collecting food stamps, we can assume that health care premiums are not a high priority from a budget stand point, but if it is free or highly subsidized, you mise well apply for it.
There are three health plans, Bronze, Silver and Platinum. If we look at the Bronze plan, it’s about $150 a month and there is a $5,000 deductible (the figures on this are all over the map, its a little like buying a car). If you’re broke and on food stamps, where does the $5,000 come from for the deductible? Better yet, where does the $150 a month premium come from?
So the flood of people that will sign up for health insurance, need help in paying for what they are already receiving. When you hear someone say, “I can’t pay for all of my medications and treatments, I need health insurance,” forget the words health insurance, they are past that. They need a government subsidy. The real definition of insurance is to pay over time for an event that may occur that you could not afford to pay for in a very short time. The idea that if you can’t cover the cost of your health care, the government should step in to make up the difference, is not what insurance is all about.
A majority of people who are uninsured and not sick, are in no real hurry to sign up for health care. Maybe it will be like taxes, the employer will withhold the monthly premium charge from your paycheck. Of course if you don't have a job, that's the least of your worries. Got Health Insurance?
Its a place undefined in time, a location that no one would ever willingly travel to. Are we there yet? The answer is yes. But its going to take 7 to 8 years for the reality to sink in.
Sunday, October 20, 2013
Monday, October 14, 2013
The National Debt Disconnect
Many people are trying to attract the public's attention to the dangerous size of the National Debt. The trouble is, it doesn’t seem to be working. Congress has a big brouhaha every time it comes to raising the debt ceiling. It eventually gets raised and business and life go on as usual.
The real problem, is the disconnect between the average person and the national debt. The country has always functioned as expected and this debt has never interfered with day to day existence. If interest rates rise, the consumer knows they will pay more for borrowed money. If inflation increases, people are prepared to pay more for groceries. Big deal if Congress raises the debt limit, they’ve been doing it for decades. Many people in Congress have warned that the county could go bankrupt if steps aren’t taken to curb current spending and they have been feeding that “rant” to the public for years. None of the dire predictions has come true, so why even listen to these worry warts? You certainly won’t get elected to Congress promising your constituents a half a loaf of bread, when they expect a seven course meal.
Courtesy USDebtClock.org
The average person has no idea or can even envision the net effects of government insolvency nor do they even care. Their group solution would be; “Do what you did before to keep the government going, only do more of it.” Government Bankruptcy is so far from their real world of football, work and raising a family that it borders on absurdity. People look at government sequestration and the budget cuts, and are really surprised how much gets cut when you try to cut the budget by 80 billion dollars a year. Everyone get indignant when Congress shuts down the parks and monuments for lack of funds. And if lawmakers attempted to cut anyone’s benefits, God help whoever made the attempt.
The Tea Party Republicans are coming to the conclusion, they have nothing to lose by standing firm. If the Hoi Polloi can’t comprehend government Ponzi financing, then let’s take the government down the hard way and end the Mickey Mouse bookkeeping. It’s the Democrats that have the most to lose; the 17 trillion dollars of paper IOU’s (already spent money) could go poof because of a stalemated Congress. Wimpy ain’t going to bum another hamburger for payment later. As with any Ponzi scheme, there won’t be anything left for either party to give away.
A government collapse is similar to taking an airline flight. You wouldn’t get on a plane if you though there would be problems. Many years ago, my dad got caught on a flight that landed in Amsterdam. The airline had gone broke between stops. The pilot had to pass the hat for gas money among the passengers just to get to London. In this example the solution was simple, but it gets a tad more complex when the organization that supports and issues the currency, is insolvent.
The National Debt is like a giant candy store. The kid buying the candy has no concern over how the store owner runs the business. Therein, is where the problem lies.
The real problem, is the disconnect between the average person and the national debt. The country has always functioned as expected and this debt has never interfered with day to day existence. If interest rates rise, the consumer knows they will pay more for borrowed money. If inflation increases, people are prepared to pay more for groceries. Big deal if Congress raises the debt limit, they’ve been doing it for decades. Many people in Congress have warned that the county could go bankrupt if steps aren’t taken to curb current spending and they have been feeding that “rant” to the public for years. None of the dire predictions has come true, so why even listen to these worry warts? You certainly won’t get elected to Congress promising your constituents a half a loaf of bread, when they expect a seven course meal.
Courtesy USDebtClock.org
The average person has no idea or can even envision the net effects of government insolvency nor do they even care. Their group solution would be; “Do what you did before to keep the government going, only do more of it.” Government Bankruptcy is so far from their real world of football, work and raising a family that it borders on absurdity. People look at government sequestration and the budget cuts, and are really surprised how much gets cut when you try to cut the budget by 80 billion dollars a year. Everyone get indignant when Congress shuts down the parks and monuments for lack of funds. And if lawmakers attempted to cut anyone’s benefits, God help whoever made the attempt.
The Tea Party Republicans are coming to the conclusion, they have nothing to lose by standing firm. If the Hoi Polloi can’t comprehend government Ponzi financing, then let’s take the government down the hard way and end the Mickey Mouse bookkeeping. It’s the Democrats that have the most to lose; the 17 trillion dollars of paper IOU’s (already spent money) could go poof because of a stalemated Congress. Wimpy ain’t going to bum another hamburger for payment later. As with any Ponzi scheme, there won’t be anything left for either party to give away.
A government collapse is similar to taking an airline flight. You wouldn’t get on a plane if you though there would be problems. Many years ago, my dad got caught on a flight that landed in Amsterdam. The airline had gone broke between stops. The pilot had to pass the hat for gas money among the passengers just to get to London. In this example the solution was simple, but it gets a tad more complex when the organization that supports and issues the currency, is insolvent.
The National Debt is like a giant candy store. The kid buying the candy has no concern over how the store owner runs the business. Therein, is where the problem lies.
Sunday, October 06, 2013
The Art of Compromise
I get a little fed up when I hear the President say no compromise on the budget. They are going to wait for the Republicans to cave in and agree to what they have offered. Rumors abound that, the Speaker of the House, John Boehner said that he would never let the Congress go so far as default on the national debt. Then you hear the Democrats state like a litany; "This will hurt the Republicans real bad when it comes election time."
Think about it for a minute. Any horse trader has enough smarts not to divulge his settlement terms. So if Obama thinks that Boehner is going to blink, he’s miscalculated. Another thing why would the Republicans lose votes? Voters, who want to give money out to every bleeding heart cause, don’t typically vote Republican.
We’ve had about 4 days of this mess so far, and if you listen to the Democrats, this is just horrible for the country. It’s as if we have been suffering through this for months when they describe the fallout. You’d think that half of the kids on the free lunch program have starved to death by missing 4 meals. A lot of government employees have been furloughed, but when things get back to normal, these people will get paid for the days they didn’t work --can you beat that?
Then if Congress lets this go on for two more weeks, we hit the debt ceiling. At that point it is no longer Democrat against Republican, it becomes a discussion on how many fairies can dance on the head of a pin. The concept borders on folly, but everyone is playing the game; “If we don’t write another IOU, the full faith and credit of the USA will be ruined.” How many free hamburgers does Wimpy get to eat with a promise to pay at a later date? This is what kicking the can down the road is all about, avoid the reality of spending beyond our means.
Is there a deal to be made where both parties can show that they got something in the bargain? Most probably. But if there is no compromise, both sides end up with nothing. In this case, both sides loose the ability to buy something with nothing while getting thanked by their constituents for doing it.
One thought to consider; the people with a solution for every problem, are usually a major part of the problem. Here’s hoping they can get together and come to a compromise.
Below is a picture that seems fairly straight forward until you realize that when you borrow money, they charge you interest. You could say from here, it gets real interest-ing. Kicking that can down the road is looking better every passing day. That doesn't say much for facing up to reality.
Think about it for a minute. Any horse trader has enough smarts not to divulge his settlement terms. So if Obama thinks that Boehner is going to blink, he’s miscalculated. Another thing why would the Republicans lose votes? Voters, who want to give money out to every bleeding heart cause, don’t typically vote Republican.
We’ve had about 4 days of this mess so far, and if you listen to the Democrats, this is just horrible for the country. It’s as if we have been suffering through this for months when they describe the fallout. You’d think that half of the kids on the free lunch program have starved to death by missing 4 meals. A lot of government employees have been furloughed, but when things get back to normal, these people will get paid for the days they didn’t work --can you beat that?
Then if Congress lets this go on for two more weeks, we hit the debt ceiling. At that point it is no longer Democrat against Republican, it becomes a discussion on how many fairies can dance on the head of a pin. The concept borders on folly, but everyone is playing the game; “If we don’t write another IOU, the full faith and credit of the USA will be ruined.” How many free hamburgers does Wimpy get to eat with a promise to pay at a later date? This is what kicking the can down the road is all about, avoid the reality of spending beyond our means.
Is there a deal to be made where both parties can show that they got something in the bargain? Most probably. But if there is no compromise, both sides end up with nothing. In this case, both sides loose the ability to buy something with nothing while getting thanked by their constituents for doing it.
One thought to consider; the people with a solution for every problem, are usually a major part of the problem. Here’s hoping they can get together and come to a compromise.
Below is a picture that seems fairly straight forward until you realize that when you borrow money, they charge you interest. You could say from here, it gets real interest-ing. Kicking that can down the road is looking better every passing day. That doesn't say much for facing up to reality.
Sunday, September 29, 2013
New Retirement Concepts of Taxation
I figured when I retired, I’d have my home paid off, 300k in
the bank and $1,200 in Social Security in monthly income. Part of my retirement was going to be from my
nest egg of 300K. I had figured that I
should be able to get about 8 to 10 percent on my invested savings; figure about
$2,000 to $3,000 per month. I accomplished
my goals, but that 300K in the bank now only generates about $400 per
month. So basically, I’m not
retiring. I like my present standard of
living and I still have my health.
The government has two ways of taxing; the obvious one, earnings and the not so obvious, savings. There are two basic categories of voters;
those with savings and those with none.
If you have nothing, you are only taxed when you earn a paycheck or buy
something taxable. These people have
support life-lines like Social Security, food stamps, health care and supplemental
SSI---any wonder why they vote Democrat?
Inflation is a despicable invisible tax on savings. Every "debt ceiling" dollar printed today over time,
will make your hard earned savings put away today, worth a lot
less in the future. Notice that if the government wants
to borrow money, they have to borrow from people who have money. That sounds
obviously simple, but it escapes most people; if you have nothing, they can’t
borrow from you. Now there is also a
third method of taxation that involves controlling the interest rates on
bonds. Bond rates are normally a
function of risk. The more risk, the
higher the rate. But if the government
comes in and takes the risk out of the market by guaranteeing the loans and
printing as many dollars as necessary to do it, they can keep interest rates
extremely low. And no, they are not giving the banksters free money, they are
just making good on the bad loans made to Joe Six-pack. In essence Joe Six-pack borrowed your money
in the bank and spent it on a house and now can’t pay it back. All the government
did was pay off his non-performing loan and keep the bank from collapsing due to gross incompetence and mismanagement.
By controlling the interest rates in this new fashion, many
silver foxes can’t retire because of the lack of generated interest
income. Instead of 30K interest on their
nest egg of 300K, they get 5K. Any way
you look at it, the retiree is losing 25K a year. I think this is why the investment in housing
rentals has skyrocketed. 300K invested
in the housing market should return more than 5K a year and 24K wouldn’t seem
unreasonable. The only trouble I see with
this, the home is not easily convertible to cash if circumstances of old age dictate it (waiting for the market to come back might not be an option). Notice however, if you give the house to your
kids in a trust with the rent payable to you for life, future rest home
expenses couldn’t claw back on the principle invested in the home that was given
to the kids.
This present administration's new approach to economics and finance, has one problem,
the economy is not reacting as anticipated.
Retirees have a lot less money to spend and students have a lot more (As
long as they’re students). There are few
high paying jobs, the kids are moving back home and rentals go unrented. New
cars are selling at a good clip, nothing down and you pay the sales tax of 10%
before you drive out. Try and sell a used car; find someone with $2000 in the
bank to purchase one. People are trading
in their old cars because they can’t afford to get them repaired. Do the math, $1,800 for a new transmission or
$800 “drive out” for a new car? Rumor has it you can get a free cell phone when
you sign up for food stamps. In the 1930's they didn't have food stamps, they had soup kitchens--but I digress.
So, to tie up the loose ends, what happens next? The government has taken away my independence
by robbing me of the interest I anticipated in retirement. Of course they will blame it on “Wall Street
and the Banksters” who are just as abstract as the name “Uncle Sam”—these imaginary individuals offer
us a focal point for our anger and are not people you can grab by the neck and
choke some sense into. In the coming weeks Congress has to face
the budget bill, the national debt ceiling and a President with a super-sized ego
that refuses any compromise. The President wants to tax the rich; you know, the
people like you and me, who saved $100 a month for 40 years. The neat thing if the government comes to a
stop, they can’t spend any more of what they don’t have. And that sounds very weird. Plus, if you think about it, whatever they were spending, really wasn't theirs to spend anyways.
Obama kind of reminds me of the guy rowing a boat as fast as
he can. Someone asked him where he was going and he said “I’m not sure, but we
are making very good time!”
Monday, September 16, 2013
Will We Stop 1929 From Repeating
Here is a reprint of mine from a few years back, that is still relevant.
The Great Depression was a financial event. There was no war, earthquake or hurricane. The financial system ruptured and just about died. People stood in line to withdraw their saving from the banks. Thousands of banks collapsed. People, worldwide, lost their life savings. It was contended that the runs on the banks are what brought the system down. Upon closer examination, it’s easy to extrapolate the banks eventual demise from the poor economic conditions. The money borrowed could not be paid back by the unemployed. Many people were forced to live off of their savings (if they had any left).
In order to stem bank runs, the government came up with FDIC insurance. The Glass Segal act put this into effect January 1, 1934. This was after the horses escaped and the barn door was locked. If your bank met muster, you qualified for insurance and if it didn’t, you were toast. It didn’t cost the government a dime.
Let’s bracket that date January 1, 1934; either 100% of the population had collectively lost 80 percent of their wealth, or 80 percent of the population lost everything and 20 percent lost nothing. Almost everyone fell somewhere in-between the two categories. There was an obvious destruction of savings that was catastrophic in nature. This money wasn’t destroyed; it had been spent very foolishly over the previous 10 years on consumption. If you paid one million dollars for a dog or a wedding, you got your money’s worth, although I would argue that.
Fast forward to today. Bank deposits worldwide are insured. No one has lost a dime. The last part of the Kondratieff wave has to do with the contraction of the money supply and the repudiation of debt. The US Treasury is expanding the money supply while debtors have no problem walking away from their obligations. The most important thing to realize about the last part Kondratieff cycle is the end result. It destroys the obscenely rich and returns financial systems to a more normal functioning state. Bernanke is trying to preserve the status quo. The Fed is going to print us into prosperity.
Food prices have double this year. It is a little hard to see in some cases, the giant size potato chips bags, now fit in a lunch box. And then there is the specter of deflation. Autos and homes are just not selling.
Even if you have a job, your wages are not increasing, but your cost of living is increasing. So you dip into your savings, which seem to have lost a lot of buying power. Maybe that’s what deflation is all about, you spend until you are broke and then do without. We can now drive to the poor house in style. It kind of sets your mind at ease, doesn't it?
The Great Depression was a financial event. There was no war, earthquake or hurricane. The financial system ruptured and just about died. People stood in line to withdraw their saving from the banks. Thousands of banks collapsed. People, worldwide, lost their life savings. It was contended that the runs on the banks are what brought the system down. Upon closer examination, it’s easy to extrapolate the banks eventual demise from the poor economic conditions. The money borrowed could not be paid back by the unemployed. Many people were forced to live off of their savings (if they had any left).
In order to stem bank runs, the government came up with FDIC insurance. The Glass Segal act put this into effect January 1, 1934. This was after the horses escaped and the barn door was locked. If your bank met muster, you qualified for insurance and if it didn’t, you were toast. It didn’t cost the government a dime.
Let’s bracket that date January 1, 1934; either 100% of the population had collectively lost 80 percent of their wealth, or 80 percent of the population lost everything and 20 percent lost nothing. Almost everyone fell somewhere in-between the two categories. There was an obvious destruction of savings that was catastrophic in nature. This money wasn’t destroyed; it had been spent very foolishly over the previous 10 years on consumption. If you paid one million dollars for a dog or a wedding, you got your money’s worth, although I would argue that.
Fast forward to today. Bank deposits worldwide are insured. No one has lost a dime. The last part of the Kondratieff wave has to do with the contraction of the money supply and the repudiation of debt. The US Treasury is expanding the money supply while debtors have no problem walking away from their obligations. The most important thing to realize about the last part Kondratieff cycle is the end result. It destroys the obscenely rich and returns financial systems to a more normal functioning state. Bernanke is trying to preserve the status quo. The Fed is going to print us into prosperity.
Food prices have double this year. It is a little hard to see in some cases, the giant size potato chips bags, now fit in a lunch box. And then there is the specter of deflation. Autos and homes are just not selling.
Even if you have a job, your wages are not increasing, but your cost of living is increasing. So you dip into your savings, which seem to have lost a lot of buying power. Maybe that’s what deflation is all about, you spend until you are broke and then do without. We can now drive to the poor house in style. It kind of sets your mind at ease, doesn't it?
Wednesday, September 04, 2013
An Inept President Trying Cover Up The Mess At Home
Turning on the news, everyone is talking about bombing Syria for gassing 1500 people. No American lives were lost and we were not threatened. If China wanted to gas some people, we wouldn’t budge a whisker. The real question to ask here, is why we would mobilize the full resources of the United States to strike someone who can’t bother us if we leave them well alone. Their ties to other countries could envelope us in war on a larger scale. PBS news reported today that Russia supplied Syria the chemical weapons. That should be enough reason to back off.
We have problems in the US that make Syria look like small potatoes. The city of Detroit has been destroyed and no bombs were dropped. Our infrastructure is falling apart, our educational system is pathetic, and more young people are killed each year in Chicago than were gassed in Syria. Nobody called an emergency session of Congress to fix any of that.
The odd issue with Syria is the adrenalin rush of each reporter and Congressman interviewed on the issue. The seriousness and the importance is stressed ad nausea; its all about votes and selling newspapers. Our journalists are selling us down a river of no return with the war on Syria because its good copy. We are going to try to kick some butt. We are going to pick on the smallest kid on the block (that makes us the bully on the block to the Arab world). My question, "Why take any action?"
No boots on the ground, but how do you get control of Weapons of Mass Destruction that have been produced? Do you ask Al-Qaeda to load them on a truck and drive them to the nearest United Nations station? The level of responsibility lies with the provider of the weapons, not the end user.
The Obama administration is using Syria as a magician’s ruse of miss direction. Focus your attention on Syria forget the real economic mess at home. The national debt, quantitative easing, inflation, unemployment and Obamacare are all coming to a head. We need to get our country moving economically and that is not happening. How does foreign policy fix the guy without a job? The part time high school jobs at McDucks are all gone. And guess what, the people that got those jobs, complain that they can't live on those wages. The high school kids probably wish that the "Whining Hamburger Flippers" would FOAD so they can earn enough to buy a new I-Phone for their senior year.
This mess in Syria could get out of hand very easily. It takes a great man to back off and only a fool to kick off a war. The news services are all aglee at selling us down a river of no return with the war on Syria--readership will triple. Here is a famous quote from Herman Goering one of Adolf Hitler’s minions from Nazi Germany.
I'm not sure how this will turn out, but I think a few Congressmen may read this blog. Lets get our nation working in good form before we try to fix the rest of the world. Our problems come first, the rest of the world can wait.
The Obama administration is using Syria as a magician’s ruse of miss direction. Focus your attention on Syria forget the real economic mess at home. The national debt, quantitative easing, inflation, unemployment and Obamacare are all coming to a head. We need to get our country moving economically and that is not happening. How does foreign policy fix the guy without a job? The part time high school jobs at McDucks are all gone. And guess what, the people that got those jobs, complain that they can't live on those wages. The high school kids probably wish that the "Whining Hamburger Flippers" would FOAD so they can earn enough to buy a new I-Phone for their senior year.
This mess in Syria could get out of hand very easily. It takes a great man to back off and only a fool to kick off a war. The news services are all aglee at selling us down a river of no return with the war on Syria--readership will triple. Here is a famous quote from Herman Goering one of Adolf Hitler’s minions from Nazi Germany.
Naturally, the common people don't want war; neither in Russia nor in England nor in America nor, for that matter, in Germany. That is understood. But, after all, it is the leaders of the country who determine the policy and it is always a simple matter to drag the people along, whether it is a democracy or a fascist dictatorship or a Parliament or a Communist dictatorship. ... [V]oice or no voice, the people can always be brought to the bidding of the leaders. That is easy. All you have to do is tell them they are being attacked and denounce the pacifists for lack of patriotism and exposing the country to danger. It works the same way in any country.
I'm not sure how this will turn out, but I think a few Congressmen may read this blog. Lets get our nation working in good form before we try to fix the rest of the world. Our problems come first, the rest of the world can wait.
Friday, August 30, 2013
How to Start a World War
Syria seems like a cake walk after Iraq and Afghanistan. But there are a few things different here. Iran and Russia are backing Syria. Go ahead and fire a few missiles into Syria. It’s a little like your neighbor beating his wife and you decide to empty your handgun into his home to get him to stop. It isn't going to end there, now is it?
Since there is a little bit of a time delay before the strike, Iran and Russia have the time to move a few armaments to Syria for its defense. It’s a little like Spain before WWII. Everyone got to test their new weapons. Iran feels threatened because of the US’s position on nuclear weapons as well as Israel’s threat of a first strike.
We’ve meddled in Iraq, Libya, Egypt, Afghanistan and all we have done is taken a stable government which never even had a hope of being a Democracy, and destroyed the institutions that could keep order. Afghanistan will be like Viet Nam. 200,000 immigrants will be moved to the US. Otherwise they will be executed when we leave.
If Obama launches a missile attack, I fully expect a reprisal attack on our vessels in the Mediterranean. And I would expect that the launches would be from Syrian soil, but not necessarily by the Syrians. The question you have to ask, do our naval ships carry gas masks?
The people in the Arab world are very poor. They want a reason for why they live in poverty. The answer is, the Great Satan is extracting from their labor the wealth that would have been theirs. Any military success by Syria against US vessels, could rally the Arabs and make shambles of governments in the region.
What we need to realize here, is that we are at a point to where we could start WWIII. And without using any gas, 4 billion people could starve to death in a nuclear winter, because some US President had a red line that was not to be crossed. Give me a break. War is about killing people. If you're not any good at it, you lose.
Sunday, August 25, 2013
Restaurant Menu Prices 1938
I was searching through some picture albums of my parents from way back and ran into some restaurant menus from the depression era of late 1930's.. The first 3 pictures are from the Manhattan Restaurant
The Second menu (three pictures) is on the Union Pacific Railroad from 1937 somewhere in Wyoming.
This last menu is from the Hotel Windermere in Chicago 1937.
Double click on the images to see what the prices were back then. Did you notice that the Manhattan offered a broiled (Whole) lobster for 65 cents? In today's world, you'd be lucky to get half a lobster for $30. Bear in mind, the people that read these menus in real time are probably dead by now.
The pay raise that everyone gets each year because of inflation is just an allusion. Look around, the new hires are starting out a few pennies less than what the seasoned workers are making. The neat thing about inflation is that Congress doesn't have to raise the tax rates, you earn more, you pay more. That's the real difference between the Democrats and Republicans; print as you go verses pay as you go.
The real odd thing is that the average person does not connect the dots. The relationship between government spending and inflation does not exist. Rumor has it, we've always had inflation-- I guess we're supposed to get used to it. My wife bought a new battery and asked me to guess how much she paid for it, and I said $40. Her answer; "That's the price you would have paid 20 years ago, the battery was $100."
Let's see, I'll have the broiled lobster with coffee and a slice of cake--that's about 85 cents total, plus 15 cents for a tip. The trouble is, 76 years of inflation have raised the prices a tad.
Sunday, August 11, 2013
MY Way Or The Highway
Newspapers around the world report how Russia
granted Snowden political asylum for a year snubbing President Obama.
That’s really not the case. In order for Snowden to get to his
destination in South America, he pretty much has to ride on an airline.
The airline will have to make one stop for fuel in Europe on the long haul to his
destination. Obama probably directed FBI or CIA to detain and search
aircraft leaving Moscow and capture Snowden. If you know he’s going to be
traveling in a few days, it’s no real effort to search about 5 or 6 aircraft a
day. The US in a foreign country no less, stopped a flight bound to Cuba just to check to see if Snowden was
on board. Obama got too demanding with Putin. Snowden has to leave
Russia so that the United States could capture him when the plane lands to
refuel. What a joke! All Putin did by granting him temporary asylum, was give Snowden a
better chance at making it to his destination. The kid hasn’t violated any
Russian laws, why should Russia be responsible for his return? It was the
Chinese that dumped him on their doorstep.
To add wood to the fire, he stated the other day; “the idea that you would shut down the government unless you prevent 30 million people from getting healthcare is a bad idea." And that "Republicans have determined that they don't want to see these people get healthcare."
Shades
of paranoia, I’m getting ready to hit the publish button and I can visualize in
my mind, a drone locking onto the meta-data in my cell phone—nah, that’s still
a few years away—I hope.
Then we hear something I could not
believe. Obama said; "Nobody is more offended than me by some of the
anti-gay and lesbian legislation that you've been seeing in Russia," he
added. "One of the things I'm really looking forward to is maybe some
gay and lesbian athletes in bringing home the gold, or silver, or bronze, which
I think would go a long way in rejecting the kind of attitudes we're seeing
there."
As
far as governments go, Russia can do whatever they deem correct, gay people
don’t reproduce and spreading HIV isn’t a good thing unless you have Obamacare.
Why should the government support a way of life that produces no offspring to
benefit the future of the state? And at the same time their sexual
actions endanger the regular population and deplete health care
resources. What is the US -- the land of the free or the land of the
Gay? Look for Obama’s new promotional souvenirs for the Moscow Olympics,
jars of Vaseline with a picture of your favorite gay American gold medal winner
on the back—ought to be a real collector’s item.
Then there is Obamacare. Whatever
gave the President the idea that once he snuck his health care thru Congress,
that from then on, it would be business as usual? This guy might know how
to play checkers, but this is a chess game. Congress is now like a wasp
nest that he stuck a stick in. Wait till the masses figure out they have
money for health care or car insurance, but not both and they don’t get to
choose which one they pay.
To add wood to the fire, he stated the other day; “the idea that you would shut down the government unless you prevent 30 million people from getting healthcare is a bad idea." And that "Republicans have determined that they don't want to see these people get healthcare."
It implies, we as a nation don’t
have the real money to spend on it and raising the National Debt will solve the
problem. It’s similar to the car insurance and health care choice for the poor,
only with the government, they get to have both even though they can only
afford one.
In
the Middle East, the Arab Spring, the promise of Democracy promoted by the US
is a miserable failure. It has turned stable governments into war zones. Anyone
care to vacation in Libya or Egypt? How do you give Democracy to people
that have to steal just to survive? Idealism doesn’t put food on the
table, pimping your sister or killing your neighbor’s dog does. I remember trying
to give Viet Nam Democracy, looks like our government didn't learn much from that lesson.
Then there is the idea of amnesty for
10 million illegal immigrants (30 million might be a more correct
figure). Do we really need 30 million more registered Democrats in the
country? When the country was founded, the voters had skin in the game,
they were land owners. I’d like to see the right to vote determined by
the amount of taxes paid. The more you pay in taxes, the more votes you
get. Let the people who pay the taxes determine how the taxes are
spent. Funny, that doesn’t seem to support our present day concepts of
how Democracy should work, but it seems very logical just for its long term
survival (Alexis Tocqueville's book written in 1835 "Democracy in America" comes to mind)
The only thing I see with the Obama
Presidency is a man whose actions declare “My way or the highway.” You
are either with him, or in his way. If you listen to his rhetoric, he’s
going to solve world hunger give us universal health care and give the world
Democracy. We all have dreams; reality is when it comes time to pay the
bill. Obama has triumphed over everything, except for those “Damn Republicans.”
And it looks like he’s about to get his comeuppance, it’s time to
pay the bills.
Sunday, August 04, 2013
The Student Loan Bubble
Students are offered college tuition loans guaranteed by the
Federal government. Some students have anywhere from 150k to 300K in
loans. If the student pays it off in 10
years, that’s about $1,820 to $3,640 a month for 10 years. When they graduate, they will need an 80 to
100K beginning wage job. If they can’t find one, there will be 12 to 24k of
interest accrual each year that payments aren’t made. This interest turns into
principle when added to the loan, so a 150k amortized over 7 years at 8 percent
with no payments made turns into $257,000.
And if we calculate the same for 300K, you get a new loan amount of $514,000. If you are unable to find a job, just the
monthly maintenance to keep the loan amount from increasing is $960 a month on
the 150K loan—double that for the $300K loan.
Our youth has been told that a college education guarantees a better paying job. Students with large student loans will have to look at the bottom line before they accept a job—it might not pay all the bills. There is always the chance your girlfriend will have just as much debt as you do. 20 years ago, the consensus was a person with a college degree would earn a half million more than the guy without one (I sure hope that amount has increased somewhat).
Now picture how the economics work for an
institution of higher learning. They need
students that can afford a 2 to 4 year degree.
They are not promising jobs, they are promising an education to get you
a better job (this is the most important sentence, and nobody really comprehends it-- a college degree does not mean more pay, it implies it). With a lot of two year
schools, the education received wouldn’t buy a cup of coffee, but the dollars
the student spent are real. The school
needs students, and a lot of ”would be students” don’t have the dollars to
attend. Here is where the school will
offer services, free of charge, to help you finance your education with them.
Don’t be surprised to read about the divorced mother of two
who signs up for the 2 year dental technician course for $12,000, graduates
only to find out she can’t get a job with her new training. She still has the 2 kids
and now in addition, 12K in school debts. If she’s
flipping hamburgers, her hours will probably be cut because of Obamacare, and
her wages will be garnished to pay off the student loan. FYI, that trade school is still turning out dental technicians by the 100's ---financing is in place for your future degree.Our youth has been told that a college education guarantees a better paying job. Students with large student loans will have to look at the bottom line before they accept a job—it might not pay all the bills. There is always the chance your girlfriend will have just as much debt as you do. 20 years ago, the consensus was a person with a college degree would earn a half million more than the guy without one (I sure hope that amount has increased somewhat).
The choice for a graduating senior in High School is
obvious; flip hamburgers, or get that college loan and go to college. The real irony,
is that you get the loan, and the education, and then you learn how to flip
hamburgers for the rest of your life. Not every
college degree is in demand. Plus you might not want to work in Butte Montana
or in Detroit Michigan.
The student debt bubble could be deflated if Congress would
allow students to file for bankruptcy on the ridiculous amounts loaned to them.
It’s a noble gesture to offer everyone
the money to pursue a college education. It’s insanity to think that most will
have the opportunity let alone the desire to pay it back. The underwriters
of these loans are turning our kids into indentured servants. If you can’t afford
something you do without---what if the government offered guaranteed loans on
lottery ticket purchases? I'd love to have sold the guy that thought up the student loan program a toll bridge or two.
We saw how free money caused a real estate bubble. When that bubble collapsed, bankruptcy was a way
out of a bad mistake. Right now, the
student loan bubble is fueling the economy ---1 trillion dollars’ worth of
consumption so far and Congress is still pumping air into it. Can we count on
these college grads to be consumers when they graduate? Will they be too busy paying back their loans
or fighting to keep their wages from being garnished?
Everyone at the age of 20 has dreams of success and wealth.
The rest of the world will play on those dreams, they are a vulnerability. Two
kids a wife and a house payment are a reality, and there isn’t much room for a large student
loan. The more bills you have, the less
you sleep at night. A college education could become your worst nightmare. We can be very sincere when we say; “The road to hell is paved with good
intensions.” Another 10 years of
these super fantastic student loans, and one will need a Master's Degree to get a job cleaning
toilets or a PhD to flip
hamburgers.
As a post script, you can always move to Australia and forget about the debt. Being broke and having a new start will work miracles on your state of mind and you'll sleep a lot better. Now might be the time to invest in surfing posters about Australia and New Zealand for the dorm room. However, it wouldn't surprise me to see them distributed free of charge, with a visa application for the Down Under, printed on the back side. No "go figure" on this one, we saw it coming and did nothing.
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